Thursday, 31 March 2011

Libyan defector is Gaddafi's man in the UK?

Moussa Koussa, Gaddafi's 'ex-Spy Chief'

The defection of Moussa Koussa from Gaddafi’s regime to Britain where he is seeking asylum might actually be a tactical move by Colonel Gaddafi to get someone into UK after five of his diplomats had been expelled from UK and Moussa Koussa himself was denied visa to travel to New York to represent Libya at the UN.

In Tunisia where he was denied the visa, he wrote a letter to the Nicaraguan Daniel Ortega requesting for D’Escoto, who is a former priest and an outspoken critic of the US to represent Libya at the UN. He did not head back to Libya however, but went to the UK as a defected regime official. Although he is presently being ‘debriefed’ by officials in the UK who seem too eager to extract information from Koussa about Gaddafi’s secrets and his week points, it is likely that not much would be gotten from him.
D'Escoto, 78, has been instructed by President Daniel Ortega to "accept this appointment and represent the people and government of Libya in its struggle to re-establish peace and defend its legitimate right to resolve, without outside meddling, its domestic conflicts," a communique on the Nicaraguan government website said.

Moussa Koussa was until now a close confidant of Gaddafi for 30 years and was linked by intelligence sources to the Lockerbie bombing and played a leading role in securing the release of the bomber Abdelbaset Ali Mohmed al-Megrahi. He also led talks leading to Libya’s abandoning of its nuclear ambitions.
With five of his diplomats expelled from the UK and his links to the outside world almost cut off, Gaddafi had to make a concession by allowing Moussa Koussa to defect into the UK to perform what has to be done there, while Ortega’s man fights for him at the UN. Koussa was Gaddafi’s spy chief and had worked with him for 30 years, whatever Gaddafi did, he effectively carried it out and so they all stand to lose, for he could be tried. But now, it is a win –win situation for Moussa Koussa. If he helps Gaddafi from outside Libya and Gaddafi is able to quell the rebellion, he could be back in Libya to assume his position, if however, Gaddafi leaves power, he could be given immunity from prosecution and could effectively serve in any transition.
Already, the rebels who made significant gains last week, mainly aided by airstrikes at Gaddafi’s forces, are now fleeing in infectious panic back to Benghazi. They fled back after being ambushed with rocket fires from an estimated 10,000 Gaddafi loyalists and a further 10,000 African mercenaries on a march behind them.
With NATO now in full command of the operation, which is to implement the ‘no fly zone’ and not to be throwing bombs about, and are now calling for ceasefire,  Gaddafi is set on regaining most of Libya back from the rebels.
The debate still continues as to whether to arm rebels or not, there are already indications that UK or France will likely supply the weapons through Qatar to the rebels, which of course, raises so many issues about the “UN arms embargo” on Libya.  Already, there are a lot of opposition from Congressmen and many others who feel the intervention was unnecessary. If the west does indeed arm the rebels, they should be ready to see what is happening in Iraq and Afghanistan very soon. The very weapons that would be used to arm the rebels to fight Gaddafi will be used to fight west.
The problem with the rebels, some say, is not arms, but discipline and tactics which they lack. Already, the rebels are beginning to lament and question why there are no more air strikes. One rebel is reported to have said that “without those airstrikes, the six week long rebellion was now doomed.”
The battle against Gaddafi by the coalition, who thought it was just a matter of days to remove Gaddafi, is now set to stretch beyond anticipation and will ultimately make the rebels blame the west for their losses. They might have surrendered and this thing would have been over without the dubious UN resolution 1973 which raised the hopes of the rebels only to shatter it.


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